Nature article is wrong about 115 year limit on human lifespan – NRC

 

Leading scientific journal Nature reported on Wednesday about a maximum lifespan for humans. But are their statistics right?

Source: Nature article is wrong about 115 year limit on human lifespan – NRC

 

A small set observations with a few extreme observations plus subjective splitting of a data set into two subsets to be fitted separately to a linear regression model resulted in very clear cut conclusions and striking figures. However, none of this is solid evidence, or evidence at all supporting the paper’s conclusions. This series of articles, not only discusses the problems in the paper, but more importantly, it traces the review process that allowed it to be published in Nature.

A new analysis of the data appears in an article at “Ask a Swiss” but still based on model fitting. They detect a significant change in slope, but still we do not have confidence bands available.

 

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